I guess my payout is not enough?
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Take a look at my market called Petersburg’s Payout http://www.inklingmarkets.com/market/show/2063 (based upon the Petersburg Paradox). Do you think the payout is set up reasonably? I mean, theoretically the payout is infinite. But there’s a 50% chance the payout will be $2. I guess the proof will be in the wisdom of the crowd. Description: I will flip a coin until it comes up heads. Tails pays nothing. But if it comes up heads the first time, I will pay Paul $2. If it comes up heads the 2nd time, I will pay Paul $4. If it is the 3rd time, Paul gets $8. If it is the 4th time, Paul gets $16 and so on until heads comes up. How much will you be willing to pay Paul to take his place in the Petersburg Payout game? |
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Looks like the payout should be PER SHARE. I’ll adjust the wording. Is it correct that I can offer the payout on a PER SHARE basis? For example, if heads comes up on the 3rd try, that means a payout of $8. And can I make that $8 per share? |
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That’s pretty much the way it works. When the market is closed you create a per-share value, and owners of the shares get that amount. As another comment you might want to set it higher (maybe $20 or so). Adjusting the value will mainly change the volatility to utility ratio. For example, if I think $5 is a good amount, I can’t invest very much in it before it is worth more than $5. This means the returns for those expecting a small number of coin flips is not worth the time it takes to click on your stock. If it were $20 for the first flip, and I think $50 is a good amount, then far more money can be invested before the stock is bumped over $50 making it more worthwhile. |